KOLKATA: Jet Airways will be scouting for US-style takeovers when Indian carriers hit the airpocket. With several airline chiefs forecasting turbulent skies in the next couple of years, Jet Airways chief executive officer Wolfgang Prock-Schauer said the carrier would scout for opportunities to acquire airline assets if the fleets had logistics synergy.
The Indian aviation industry is set for consolidation within the next couple of years. That can happen in two ways: sale of airlines, lock stock and barrel; and sale of asset like aircraft, pilots and engineers. We will participate if there is an opportunity to pick up assets. That's how consolidation happens in the US, the Jet Airways chief said.
Still smarting from the failed Air Sahara takeover bid, Wolfgang made it clear that Jet Airways would steer clear of picking up an airline. "Only if an airline sells its planes that match our fleet, comprising primarily Boeing 737-800 aircraft, then only we'll be interested," he said. Most carriers use the Airbus A-320.
The Jet Airways chief's sentiment on turbulence in the skies are in sync with what Air India chairman & MD V Thulasidas and Air Sahara president have forecast as well. Both had earlier told TOI that a major shake-up was imminent.
The mega-merger between Air India and Indian Airlines sometime next year could trigger the consolidation drive.
"The Indian market is buoyant. But, it may not be able to absorb the huge capacity additions lined up by carriers, particularly those in the no-frills business," remarked Thulasidas. Sharma felt likewise. Churn is inevitable. There will be mergers and acquisitions, he said.
On Monday, Wolfgang said overcapacity in the market would force a consolidation. So many airlines cannot survive, he said, pointing to the slide in passenger loads and rise in operational losses. Against loads of 75% last November, the carrier are doing 65% now. Jet Airways hit the airpocket with a loss of Rs 100 crore in six months ended September 2006.
Air Deccan fared worse, recording Rs 340 crore loss for 15 months ending June 2006. The airline is banking on cost-saving initiatives and expansion plan to emerge from the air-pocket. Rising fuel prices and employee costs have squeezed margins. "For the next five months, we have chalked out a $22-million savings plan and slashed the budgeted manpower hike by 600 persons. A fuel policy to optimise tankering and ATF prices re-negotiation with oil firms are in store. The measures should bring turn around in two years," he said.
On the expansion front, the airline is set to increase the fleet size by 10% each year. "We have conservative growth estimates. There are already 200 aircraft in India. The market can absorb a 25% capacity hike," he said.
That would mean bulk cancellation of aircraft orders. In the last couple of years, Indian carriers have ordered more than 400 aircraft!
If 9W is going to restrict itself to airlines that operate 737's, then they are pretty much restricted to S2 and Spice, both of which arent going to fall into 9W's lap anytime soon.
There is however one LCC which currently operates A320's and ATR's and if word on the street (and my yahoo messenger) is to be believed is getting increasingly cosy with 9W. i mean its scandalous: the carrier for the common man getting in bed with snooty Jet! Kaliyug!! Ghor Kaliyug!!
Praveena Sharma Wednesday, November 08, 2006 22:31 IST
BANGALORE: They are profusely bleeding but they can’t do much about it — the current market conditions wouldn’t permit them to. Even as the demand-supply imbalance in the market has kept them from reaping a windfall this peak season, not all airlines are looking at fare revision.
Except for low-cost airline SpiceJet, all other carriers have decided to continue with their existing pricing regime.
On Tuesday, the pioneering budget carrier Air Deccan, which has recorded Rs 340 crore losses for 15 months ending June 2006, announced fares of Rs 9 for as many as one lakh tickets.
Deccan Aviation Ltd. chief revenue officer Mohan Kumar says the airline has no other option but to react to the market forces.
“IndiGo has come out with inaugural fares on many sectors, we have to match it or our planes will go empty,” worried Kumar.
Not long ago, it was Air Deccan, which was the challenger to full service carriers Jet Air, Indian Airlines and Air Sahara. Market leader Jet, which has lost substantial market share over the last one year, has also shut itself to any price hike.
“We have no plans of fare hike,” said a Jet Airways spokeswoman. Value carrier Kingfisher Airlines, which offers valet service to even the economy class travellers, has also decided to go with the market flow. “We are already the most expensive,” said Vijay Mallya.
No frills carrier Go Air would also follow the market dynamics. “We will not go for a planned fare hike. It would be based on demand condition in the market. If we are able to fill up our planes faster, then we will sell at higher prices,” revealed Go Air chief commercial officer Raj Halve.
It is only SpiceJet, which is looking at an upward revision of around 10% in fares. “We are reviewing the current fares and by Monday, we will take a call on how much it should go up by,” informed SpiceJet Ltd vice president Sanjay Kumar.
Kumar said the fare revision would be effected from mid-November or third week of this month. But even as airlines stick to their current price line, aviation experts believe airlines wouldn’t be able to steer away from fare revision for long. They say due to dwindling load factor on many sectors, the industry players would have to increase fares to offset losses or else some of them could go bust.
“Due to rapid capacity addition by airlines, today there is a differential of 15-20% between demand and supply. This has crimped the load factor on some sectors, bringing down the overall load of airlines. So, to achieve breakeven at these lower loads, they will have to up prices,” said Bird Group (a conglomerate of travel companies) executive director Ankur Bhatia.