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Post Info TOPIC: End of low fares? More discipline?


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End of low fares? More discipline?
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CNN-IBN in its 10 pm bulletin (Sept 28, 2006)  has just said that the Ministry of Civil Aviation might bring in legislation to regulate low fares.


It may be made mandatory not to offer tickets below the cost price.


Quoting from the report.



-- Edited by karatecatman at 01:07, 2006-09-29

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Airlines see red
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http://www.timesnow.tv/articleshow/2036280.cms
Airlines see red
Thursday, September 28, 2006 06:46:37 pm


 Cut throat competition and soaring jet fuel prices have taken its toll on the airline companies and has clipped the wings of country's aviation growth. Most of the low-cost/ non-frill airlines like Air Deccan and Spice Jet reported losses in the last year. Even Jet Airways reported loss in the previous year.


Taking note of the growing concern, Civil Aviation Ministry is on a red alert. To address the issue, Civil Aviation Minister Praful Patel is holding a meeting of all airline chiefs. It is likely that the government may intervene and put on hold fresh approvals for airline companies. The government might also ask established airlines to stagger out their expansion programmes in a bid to curtail the losses. Steep discounts offered by various airlines can be attributed to the fact that there is too much capacity available, which has resulted in sharp dip in air fares across the board.


In the last one year, the loss in the aviation sector is estimated at Rs 2,200 crore. This has caused undue worry to the players, who plan to be more pro-active to avoid a repeat of early nineties boom and bust cycle, which resulted in number of players, including East West, Damania and ModiLuft, go down under.


The moot question is, what effect it will have on the end-customer. It is likely that the era of cheap air tickets may not last too long and a part of the air traffic may move to Indian Railways. In addition, for the common man, it may mean an end to the days of cheap flying.


We give you a lowdown as to how fares have changed after the entry of low cost airlines into the Indian skies.


In 2004, a flight from Mumbai to Delhi costed around Rs 7000, which is currently available for Rs 2500. While, Mumbai to Bangalore costed around Rs 5000 two years back, and the same is available at half the price of Rs 2,500. Similarly, prices dropped across the sectors -- Mumbai to Chennai fare costed Rs 5000 in 2004, which is currently available for just Rs 2000 ; a Mumbai to Kolkata flight costed as high as Rs 8000, which is now available for just Rs 2600.



(Payal Raj) 
 



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Greater scrutiny for new private airline licenses
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Greater scrutiny for new private airline licenses


Indo-Asian News Service


New Delhi, September 28, 2006
 
 

http://www.hindustantimes.com/news/181_1808766,00020016.htm  
     
 
With most Indian private airlines incurring huge losses in the recent months, the civil aviation ministry has decided on more stringent scrutiny of fresh applications from firms intending to start airlines.


"We don't want the private airlines to incur such huge losses, so applications for those who want to start a private airline in India will be more closely scrutinised," Minister of State for Civil Aviation Praful Patel said Thursday after a meeting with representatives major domestic private airlines.


The government would like the domestic civil aviation sector to flourish and all steps required in that direction would be taken, he added.


Patel said his ministry would take up the private airlines' demand to reduce air traffic fuel prices. "I will take up this matter with the oil companies and the petroleum ministry," he said.


The ministry would also approach the finance ministry regarding issues related to taxes charged on rental or leasing of aircraft by the domestic airline, Patel said.


He assured that the ministry's preparations for tackling delay of flights due to fog during winters were much better now compared to last year.


The latest CAT-3 facility installed at the two Delhi airports would ensure that there would not be much problem in coming months, he said.
 
 



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RE: End of low fares? More discipline?
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Air Travel has a certain class


Thank god to see it being restored.



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JumboJet wrote:



Air Travel has a certain class


Thank god to see it being restored.





 


Europes largest carrier by revenue and pax Ryan Air had incurred 10yrs of continues losses from 1985-1995, it was only after it had managed to deglamourise travel and create a huge travel culture, the profits started pouring in.


DN is the only airline in India trying to emulate this model, proven worldwide. The capacity rationing GOI is recommending will lead to the situation in 1950, 1991 when the GOI tried to regulate aviation by managing it i.e. Nationalised Airlines. The telecom sector where GOI has completely (correct ?) withdrawn should be the way forward. These airlines are trying to compete with fares of IA which offers full service on aircrafts with lower seating caapcity. AI / IA also has access to a full fledged Engg division with spares willy Nilly financed by the GOI in the event of grounding. Its own terminal, simulators, the full works.


The issue in India is not of airlines bleeding themselves (is accepted worldwide that airlines take 3yrs to breakeven, in normal circumstances) to bankruptcy but GOI stiffling them to death. Its the common man of India standing to loose the most in this whole episode, once again. Aviation was India's second Industry to adopt a generation leap. Telecoms went straight for mobile ahead of landline, and in transport Aviation leap frogged Roads. The slow down in aviation will affect the countries growth and economy. IT CEOs of Indian co are on record urging CMs of the backward states to help create air connectivity if they want to attract business. The job creation direct and Indirect thru aviation is phenomenal. In terms of value it wil be second only to IT.


India is the greatest aviation story in the world today. There are many players with their interests locked to the success of Indian aviation and most of them will manipulate it to their advantage. Boeing is concerned with the value of its largest selling NB aircrafts due to Airbus flooding the market with its NBs. Both the OEMs have tried to enter the MRO market globally and its only in India that they managed to get a break. Again this business will favour the OEM with the largest aircraft in the country. With Airbus now dependent on its work horse for revenue any cancellation or differing of aircraft deliveries will hurt Airbus, this revenue loss will be transferred to the airlines resulting in exactly the opposite of what the GOI expects. Any slowdown in growth of aviation in India will provide sufficient time for airlines to reconsider the new offerings of Boeing later this decade, in the present scenario with the likes of DN, KF, GO & Indigo expected to recieve a collective fleet of over 400 a/c till 2015, any new product introduced at start of next decade has to offer massive discounts to lure these Airbus operators towards their new aircraft, as Airbus had to do with B737 operators. And any new product offered by Airbus will retain elements of the present generation to make it worthwhile for these operators to continue with the same supplier, as B737NG did for the classic operators. Not to mention a simple interim solution as re-enginening which could see the A320s through till 2020, as was proposed for the A330.


I am surprised that not a single political party has commented on the GOI getting out of this business ASAP. The mergers and valuation exercise results in status quo, as was done previously in early 90s .Its absolutely sad to see a whole nation adopt a scarstic attitude towards aviation as it is percived to be too elitist and not with the ethos of the Class minded society we live in. 



-- Edited by tayara mechanici at 16:27, 2006-09-29

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Indian aviation needs to make its own mistakes to flourish: CAPA
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www.uninews.com


Indian aviation needs to make its own mistakes to flourish: CAPA
by Sudipt Arora


Mumbai, Sep 29 (UNI)


The Centre for Asia Pacific Aviation (CAPA) today cautioned against India turning back the clock through increased regulation of aviation sector.
‘‘The industry needs to find its own equilibrium. Market exit and consolidation is the global norm,’’ said its executive chairman Peter Harbison while addressing delegates at third annual India and West Asian low cost airlines symposium.
His comments came a day after the government’s move to put a temporary moratorium on new airline licences.
‘‘I have one word of advice when it comes to preventing new airline entry -- Don’t. It is vital for India’s private airlines to find their own way to profit. Government intervention, unless there is a very clear and transparent framework, will very quickly undermine investor confidence. Not just in the airline industry, but also for airport investors and tourism infrastructure providers.’’
Indian aviation’s growth potential is far from being achieved and increased regulation will threaten to prematurely curb its development, he said.
‘‘This is not a time for regulatory fine tuning. The adolescent market has become a young adult and needs to make its own market mistakes in order to flourish. Looking in the rear-view mirror is no solution for the future,’’ said Mr Harbison.
The government’s job is to create a regulatory framework and put institutional mechanisms in place so that market forces can play their role, he said.  
Indian aviation is undergoing unprecedented growth, but profitability is being undermined through intense competition stimulated by new airline entry and significant new capacity being added by incumbents.
Yesterday, civil aviation minister Praful Patel said there was a temporary moratorium on new airline licences. ‘‘There will be no rapid roll-out of licences. I don’t want a repeat of 1991. There will be no blanket ban, but pending applications will go through very very high scrutiny,’’ he said.
Insisting there were no major applications pending for aviation licences, Mr Patel added that any fresh applications will also go through scrutiny of business plans.
During 1991-92, players like ModiLuft, Damania and East West went bankrupt. ‘‘Earlier, companies used to procure licences even before signing a lease for aircraft. We will change that. There is no shortage of capacity but there are infrastructure hitches,’’ he said.
To reduce the burden on the loss-making industry, the civil aviation ministry is lobbying with the petroleum and finance ministries to reduce taxes on aviation turbine fuel (ATF) which range from 8 to 24 per cent across states. ATF accounts for 45 per cent of operational costs in India against 20 per cent elsewhere.
The ministry also plans to introduce a quarterly review of financial and operational statements of airlines, as mandated by the Federal Aviation Authority in the United States.
Following a massive price war among airlines, the minister said though he did not want to impose any regulation on tariff cuts, companies should conduct their businesses in a way so that no airline went bankrupt.
Currently there are 13 airlines in India. Jet Airways incurred a loss of Rs 48 crore in April-June this year. Air Deccan reported a loss of over Rs 340 crore in fiscal 2005-06.
Experts say the aviation industry losses total up to Rs 2,000 crore annually. 


                                             ********** 
Honeymoon over for no-frills airlines: expert
by Sudipt Arora


Mumbai, Sep 29 (UNI)


Prof Nawal Taneja, chairman of aviation department at the Ohio State University, today warned the Indian low-cost carriers (LCCs) that their honeymoon period is over as full service carriers begin to fight back.
He said LCCs that can develop into new generation carriers will grow to become global players. Those that do not will simply fail.
‘‘There are many opportunities but don’t kid yourself. There are even more challenges. It is going to be a little like the dot.com boom. There will be many failures but the few that survive are going to become global players.’’
Mr Taneja was addressing delegates who gathered here for third annual symposium on LCCs organised by the Sydney-based Centre for Asia Pacific Aviation (CAPA).
‘‘Two-third of legacy carriers around the world are asleep, but some are waking up. They will provide serious competition to LCCs that take them for granted. LCCs from India and other emerging markets must develop to become new generation carriers and take advantage of the opportunity to become global players,’’ he said.
‘‘Those who think they have got it made, well, let me tell you, the honeymoon is over. And those that think that full service carriers are dead will have some serious problems,’’ said Prof Taneja.



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RE: End of low fares? More discipline?
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My comments on this on airliners.net:

One of the papers I read this morning had a good editorial on the whole issue. The editorial basically made the points that:

1. The increased demand is very elastic, if prices go up, the demand will drop dramatically
2. The MoCA is being foolish by talking about increasing ticket prices, it should be looking at reducing costs in the industry - by attacking exorbitant taxes on ATF and delays in infrastructure
3. Once costs are reduced, let the market decide the fate of the airlines.

I tend to agree with the view. Bringing ticket prices up is quite foolish, because then you're not benefitting anyone in the country (except the heads of the airlines).

What should be done is to reduce costs associated with aviation, it should be treated as a necessity, and not like a luxury!

The other thing to be done is to open up the international sectors for all domestic carriers, so the airline capacity can be spread on new routes (with better infrastructure), and the airlines can make some money as well.

I'm sure given a choice of flying 9W/IT BLR-SFO compared to LH, I'd choose 9W/IT any day. Unfortunately I don't have that choice today.

And for short haul international sectors like India - South East Asia or India - Gulf, there's no reason for the EKs/ULs to be milking the market, while the DNs and ITs have to sit around flying Belgaum-Hubli type of sectors!

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THE hidden agenda/SIGNIFICANT ANGLE TO THE MEETING!!!! 


The group that matters in Indian aviation today! 


   


(Copyright BusinessLine)


http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/2006/09/29/stories/2006092903760900.htm
CUTTING LOSSES: (from left) The Minister for Civil Aviation, Mr Praful Patel, with the Secretary, Mr Ajay Prasad, the Chairman of Kingfisher Airlines, Mr Vijay Mallya, and the Chairman of Jet Airways, Mr Naresh Goyal, during a meeting with Chief Executive Officers of various domestic airlines, in the Capital on Thursday. — Ramesh Sharma


(Significant words. Cutting losses!!! Whose? Mallya's and Goel's?


Should also have been rewritten as:


CUTTING LOSSES: Praful Patel and best friends Mr. Vijay Mallya and Mr. Naresh Goyal during a meeting to discuss how to finish off India's low cost carriers.


 



(Copyright The Hindu)http://www.hindu.com/2006/09/29/stories/2006092902492000.htm
CAPTAINS GATHER: From left: Minister for Civil Aviation, Praful Patel, with Secretary, Ajay Prasad, Chairman of Kingfisher Airlines, Vijay Mallya, and Chairman, Jet Airways, Naresh Goyal, at a meeting with Chief Executive Officers of domestic airlines in New Delhi on Thursday. — PHOTO: Ramesh Sharma

 


                                             ***


The photographs and TV clips of this event had many significant and interesting shots of the people in attendance.


Doubt that some photographers are smart to pick this up, but most of the pictures had PP going overborad greeting Mallaya and Goel. Anyone would know that Goel was the first to tell Gopi once that he, Gopi, knew nothing about the airline business and that his intention was to finish off everyone. This was just after Gopi went around saying that he wanted all one billion Indians to fly.


Mallya also everyone knows exited the LCC model  to embrace super luxury. At a recent meet in Bangalore, he hit out at the LCC model, saying it was rubbish ."These people don;t realise that they have to make money."


Any surprises then that PP wants to regulate the whole thing now?      





-- Edited by karatecatman at 18:15, 2006-09-29

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karatecatman wrote:



(Significant words. Cutting losses!!! Whose? Mallya's and Goel's?


Should also have been rewritten as:


CUTTING LOSSES: Praful Patel and best friends Mr. Vijay Mallya and Mr. Naresh Goyal during a meeting to discuss how to finish off India's low cost carriers.


 


.

Mallya also everyone knows exited the LCC model  to embrace super luxury. At a recent meet in Bangalore, he hit out at the LCC model, saying it was rubbish ."These people don;t realise that they have to make money."


Any surprises then that PP wants to regulate the whole thing now?      






-- Edited by karatecatman at 18:15, 2006-09-29




This only gets more intriguing, i remember reading an article about 9W-DN sharing spares for the ATRs and DN offering code share to 9W on the ATR routes. couple of months back Airline Business had run a cover story on KF, the author seemed to suggest there was a feud of some sorts running between NG and VM, with both being neighbours in Delhi, where NG was building a palatial House towering over VMs Mansion.


I seriously hope Musharraf in his present Confessional state utters something about the source of NGs money in 9W........Musharaf seems to have intelligence on everything in South-Asia, and the Americans take his word for law  



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http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/articleshow/2035786.cms


Boeing to expand its management team in India


Larry Coughlin will now be the managing director of India Operations, Boeing Commercial Airplanes, while Mike Devers has been appointed vice president, India Operations, Integrated Defense Systems.

Said Boeing chairman and chief executive officer Jim McNerney while announcing the new appointments on Wednesday, "India is a priority market for Boeing. There is a tremendous opportunity for Boeing and India to work together on a multitude of projects and business initiatives."

"We have a solid business plan and a long-term view of the market. With this approach we are going to create even greater value for Boeing and our customers and partners in India."

"In the new position, Coughlin will be responsible for coordinating and integrating in-country operations to strengthen the growing partnership between Boeing and India's civil aviation industry," a company statement said.

Prior to this appointment, Coughlin was a director of strategic projects


 



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Airlines pull up socks
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http://www.indiainfoline.com/news/innernews.asp?storyId=16611&lmn=1
Airlines pull up socks
 
India Infoline News Service / Mumbai Sep 30, 2006 15:37 
 
Meeting with Praful Patel was inconclusive mainly due to different airline pricing objectives
 
With mounting losses of the airlines mainly due to surging prices of aviation turbine fuel (ATF) and overcapacity, the aviation industry is tightening its belt after the meeting with Praful Patel, Civil Aviation Minister. The Minister assured all present that he would take the matter up to the Petroleum Minister and the Finance Minister.


Though the country’s largest low-cost airline has expansion plans, it has reported a loss of Rs1.10bn between April and June this year. Warwick Brady, COO, Air Deccan said remedial measures include “rationalizing some routes” and retracing “unprofitable capacity.” More India airways are poised to follow suit.


The meeting however was inconclusive, mainly due to highly distinctive views of Jet Airways and Kingfisher on one side and Air Deccan and Spice Jet on the other. While the former team harped on the requirement of an industry association that would ensure not too much price cuts, the later stood firm on their ground of aggressive price tactics; but the match was a draw and no conclusion was arrived at.


“Everyone has to find a way of profitable growth,” said Ajay Singh, Director, Spice Jet and eventually there was no consensus on the formation of an industry association.


Capt. G R Gopinath, CEO of Air Deccan, said, “These fat cats are urging the government to control price, discipline the LCCs and put up entry barriers for new players. Fortunately for us, the government has refused to do this.”


The point made by the Captain is that low-cost airlines are going to make relentless efforts to continue to reduce costs by flying more number of hours with higher number of seats. By migrating more customers to the Internet, Gopinath said, the airline aims to cut distribution costs by almost 20%.


On the other side, Vishwapati Trivedi, Chairman and Managing Director, Indian, said that even if the anticipated cut in ATF prices took place on October 1, the airline was unlikely to immediately pass it on to the consumer. This is because the airline would like to eye the trend in ATF prices for at least two to three months.
 



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Air Deccan changes course from market share to revenues
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http://www.dnaindia.com/report.asp?NewsID=1056157
Air Deccan changes course from market share to revenues


Praveena Sharma
Sunday, October 01, 2006  20:38 IST


MUMBAI: After clocking losses of Rs 340 crore for the 15 months ended June, 2006, budget carrier Air Deccan is changing course — from focussing on market share to revenues. As a corollary, route rationalisation and yield management become the buzzwords.


“We are planning to protect our revenues through innovative marketing campaigns, route rationalisation and a sound revenue management system. We have recently hired two executives from Ireland’s state-owned carrier Aer Lingus to manage our revenues. With this, things are expected to look up on the revenue side,” said Air Deccan CEO Warwick Brady on the sideline of Centre for Asia Pacific Aviation (CAPA) symposium here on Saturday.


It has already kicked off the process by cutting frequency and flights on some sectors to make them commercially viable. The no-frills airline, which has usurped a substantial chunk of the aviation market pie (21.2% in June, 2006) over the last one year, wants to improve its yields by 5-6% over the next couple of months.


“December onwards our yields would be up by 5-6%, which would give us better margins. Playing the revenue game is hard because the range of margin (between $1-3 -Rs 46-138 per passenger) in the airline business is very small,” said Brady.


Air Deccan’s current average yield is around Rs 2,700 per passenger. Today the airline was missing the break-even yield by $7-8 (Rs 322-368) in a bad month and by $4-5 (Rs 184-230) in a good month. On a fare of Rs 3,000, we need to achieve a load factor of 80% to break even,” Brady said.


At present, the airline’s average load factor is 78%. However, on Airbus routes, it manages to register a higher load of over 85%. The airline, which will be operating 60,000 flights from now to March, 2007 (on existing and new aircraft), is looking at a market share of 25% by the middle of 2007.


And as the airline pursues higher revenues, it does not mind if it slips a little on market share. “We don’t want to jeopardise our revenue flow for 1-2% market share,” quips Brady.


Analysts said the budget carrier’s move was a step in the right direction. “This mindset is a good change. There is no point in filling up your aircraft 100% if you are not making profits. Indian airlines need to concentrate on keeping their costs low and ensure steady stream of healthy revenue to offer competitive fares. A focused approach to bottomline is very critical in ensuring survival of airlines,” said Kalpesh Parekh, assistant vice-president at ASK Raymond James.
 



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RE: End of low fares? More discipline?
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Is 9Ws funding really known to Musharaf!


Any chances of 9W actually making it to America.



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JumboJet wrote:



Is 9Ws funding really known to Musharaf!


Any chances of 9W actually making it to America.




I find it Negative...pretty difficult especially after Dawood's funding revealed and UNO declaring him as a internationally wanted criminal

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