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Post Info TOPIC: No Jet-Sahara deal. No Transjet. The reasons


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No Jet-Sahara deal. No Transjet. The reasons
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IT'S OFF!



CNN-IBN, NDTV and BBC all say it is off. (June 21, 2006 9 pm)



Here is a summary and making sense of what was said. 



 



What Sahara says:



Alok Sharma's (Sahara president) press conference said it all. Sahara will be running Sahara on its own from tomorrow (June 22). They are very confident about this as they still have ticket stock.



Passengers still have faith in them. They have made a profit and passenger levels have increased from MArch 2006. 



The main dispute is that eschrow amount which Jet cannot touch now.



Jet's Goyal has a shady reputation.



Jet is responsible for the mess.



Jet is making up stories about the balance sheet.



Will extend the deadline for 15 more days but no renegotiation. 



 



 



What Jet says:



Sahara is too overpriced.



Sahara has poor maintenance standards.



Sahara's account books are a terrible mess. Huge loss between January and May 2006. Rs. 485 crore. Net loss of Rs. 26 crore. Maintenance of engines alone was too high. 



Sahara's salaries for its pilots is ridiculously high.



Is making a loss of Rs. 100 crore a month



 



What the experts say:



Politics may have a role in this.



Jet has finally realised that it's a bad business deal.



Kingfisher will be having the last laugh.



Sahara cannot run the show from tomorrow. It has bad losses, hardly any maintenance staff and flight crew. Once Jet staff stop coming from tomorrow, they will be in bad shape as the Sahara management team has been dissolved by Jet.



Sahara cabin crew are in a mess. Low morale. When Jet took over Sahara, they found many Sahara cabin crew not upto Jet's standards.



Forget Transjet.



Naresh Goyal is creating problems about not disclosing his wealth by claiming NRI status. Tailwinds Ltd. cannot be



investigated. Intelligence Bureau has now questioned security to Goyal.



What Vijay Mallaya says:



Will look at Sahara only if it has a realistic value. Rs. 2000 crore is too much.  



 



What Captain Gopinath says:



Jet can never hope to be a monopoly.



Went on praising Indian Airlines.




-- Edited by karatecatman at 00:37, 2006-06-22

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How will S2 cope up now.


It will be tough.


9W wiped S2 off well.


regds


MEL



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 Well the bottom line is that they will require a fresh capital to get the airline back on heels. Now from where does that money come whether the Sahara family induces a new lease of life into the airline or they sell shares or bring some strategic investor thats a different story...


 


 Indeed in this current mess its the employees who have taken a big beating with no vision as to whether they are working for 9W or S2. I wonder how the CRJ pilots would be thinking who would have placed their papers to the management before being sold to Jet.


Running an airline has never been a joke being a capital intensive business plus due to slow rate of return infact i should say the long tenure of reaching the break even point makes it very important that only big corporations with deep pockets join this field...


But today what i see in indian aviation industry is that due to probably the boom every Tom, Dick and Harry wants to ride this boom by opening up an airline and then cleaverly wants to cut down his own risk by selling its shares in the open market. I remember how NG lobbied hard from preventing tata,s enter the global domestic aviation in partnership with SIA and he was successfull.... I reckon this would have never happened if TATA,s would have been running an airline....


 


 As far as running S2 is concerned the ball is in the lucknow,s family,s court they have to do decide how they wanna run it Lets see how th drama unfolds.......



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Excellent vaibhav totally correct.


Kingfisher said that it wud break even in 2008 but its employees say that they r still in losses and their break even in 2008 is difficult but possible.


S2 has a totally different story to tell. In the 90s bubble it invested a lot and it has never been able to recover from that debt.


9W's case is again different-officials say that underworld financed him and ruined East-West thats why 9W survived...but no evidence to this too.


Speaking of Sahara if u noticed one thing thats even when the biggest deal in aviation history of India and in the history of his own airline sahara, the CMD Subrata Roy has not been seen anywhere. Because he is unable to pay the debts he is now underground this is what people say.


But i wud love to see S2 taken over by IT



-- Edited by the_380 at 14:33, 2006-06-22

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the_380 wrote:


S2 has a totally different story to tell. In the 90s bubble it invested a lot and it has never been able to recover from that debt.

But i wud love to see S2 taken over by IT




I thought S2 was just a product of lack of vision and bad management (from the Sahara Parivar)? I would also love to see IT take over S2 (just so they get the slots and rights for overseas).

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They say a drop of water fills the ocean


Sahara's quality is not only related to finance. Ur absolutely right S2 is a product of lack of vision and bad management.


But in this aviation indutry even high finances matter.


Sorry to gujjus here but if the aviation industry wud be one like a biscuit factory then every gujju wud have an airline of his own.



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 Well whats the gurantee that IT has firm plans in place and has a vision. Personally i feel VM is more of those CEO types who is just desperately looking to sell shares of the airlines in the world market there by cut down his own personal risk.


 Unfortuantely the market conditions are not favouring him otherwise we would have seen Kingfisher airlines IPO too.  Then the experienced personnal who were running the show the damania brothers and nigel harwood have quit the airline. Just because u have money to invest and start an airline doesnt mean you are wise enough to operate one...


As i previously said its a big can of worms.....


and the climax is yet to come



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IT has invested a lot in wide-body fleet and his A330s are scheduled to arrive in 2007 so wants to put them into use. No wonder he is asking the govt to review the policy that airlines will not get intl unless they operate 5yrs domestic

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vabby wrote:

 
 Well whats the gurantee that IT has firm plans in place and has a vision.




Of course no one has guarantees on things like this. But at least the moves are in the right direction.

There's money to be made in the internation markets from India. That requires aircraft, and IT has done the right thing by ordering the aircraft well in advance when they can negotiate a good deal and get slots firmed up (look at the mess AI/IC are in since they dont' have wide-bodies in place). That also requires permission to fly, which he's pursuing through all means.

IT has managed to get a tag of being a "premier" domestic carrier - with service/facilities that are the best of the lot (better than 9W/IC/DN etc.). This is also no mean feat - I'd like to see someone else come to that level.

IT has also got a decent fleet/route network in place, and are tied up with GDS systems in addition to the online web based sales of tickets.

All in all IT is definitely one of the better airlines in the market today. The one area they faltered was starting off as an LCC, but they changed course later on into a "full-service" carrier model. I wish their FFP would improve, and they would tie up with some international FFPs/Code shares, but I guess for that to happen, IT would have to prove itself through a few years of sustained operations.

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I think this jet vs sahara battle is gonna turn political with one group supported by congress and other by SP...



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